For some years, our team tracked civilian harm resulting from air strikes against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, then against more adversaries in more countries. And during these years, as I spoke with colleagues at the Syrian Archive and the IIIM Syria, who were all diligently collecting and archiving in the hope of legal proceedings some years or decades down the line, I wondered how much weight our stuff would have. Legally, I mean.
Then the large-scale invasion of Ukraine happened, and suddenly it’s a whole different world out there. The Economist famously wrote that OSINT has “come of age,” but it’s not just OSINT. Archivists and lawyers around the world have sharpened their axes, and thanks to abundant promises of funding, a wealth of folks are working on documenting the conflict and the atrocities it’s led to.
I think a couple of things will take even more shape in 2023 than they did this year, as far as new practices and sensibilities towards the legal world are being refined. Most notably, I feel there’s a newfound keenness on testifying, or at least on being part of bringing justice — and it will be shaping journalistic practices in 2023 in two notable ways.
From a business and product point of view, I think initiatives such as the Coalition for Content Provenance and Authenticity (C2PA, whose members include Adobe, the BBC, Intel, and Microsoft) as well as the Content Authenticity Initiative (CAI, which includes Adobe, The New York Times, and Twitter) are but precursors to a broader shift: the leap from trust in the media to trust in the material itself.
I eagerly await the large “merchants of truth,” news organizations that trade on their production of accurate records, marketing their ability to establish provenance and unbroken integrity, from capture to their client’s screen. It’s not tamper-free because Reputable Newswire says it is — you can see it for yourself, thanks to this little green checkmark, or whichever UI we come up with to denote self-authenticating cryptographic properties. Looking further ahead, Secure Enclave-type chips will permit safe and strong cryptography in professional camera bodies themselves.
In both cases, the challenge is communicating to the audience how novel and strong this self-authenticating material is in terms of trusting what they can see.
As if we needed more of the same debate about who’s a journalist and who’s not, I think there’ll be a more porous border between the world of OSINT analysts and newsrooms or small publishing organizations. And call me nostalgic for my days producing graphics, but I think the bridge between the two worlds is graphics and deep research — “Visual Investigations,” in New York Times parlance.
I think newsrooms will grow more and more comfortable working in partnership with shops specializing in this kind of work, and I think the result of this marriage could be very strong material for legal proceedings, in addition to being extraordinary storytelling pieces.
Pieces like the collaboration between the Associated Press and SITU, as well as fascinating projects aimed towards both the general public and an audience of prosecutors in The Hague, mixing VR and drone videos, and sharp and focused event reconstructions are the areas I see as the most productive and forming the most fruitful cross-disciplinary thinking.
Anecdotally, colleagues who’ve returned from Ukraine (as well as one for Ethiopia) all mentioned more or less casually that they’d been treating their research, notes, and B-rolls differently — as if to be more “ready” should they be called to testify in front of an international body or court. All sought advice ahead of their trip regarding best practices for documentation, and some were directed to published resources such as the Witness Video as Evidence field guide by colleagues and professional organizations.
Should my predictions be proved wrong (and thanks to Nieman Lab for not checking the scoreboard), there’s at least that.
Basile Simon is director of special projects at Stanford and USC’s Starling Lab for Data Integrity.
For some years, our team tracked civilian harm resulting from air strikes against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, then against more adversaries in more countries. And during these years, as I spoke with colleagues at the Syrian Archive and the IIIM Syria, who were all diligently collecting and archiving in the hope of legal proceedings some years or decades down the line, I wondered how much weight our stuff would have. Legally, I mean.
Then the large-scale invasion of Ukraine happened, and suddenly it’s a whole different world out there. The Economist famously wrote that OSINT has “come of age,” but it’s not just OSINT. Archivists and lawyers around the world have sharpened their axes, and thanks to abundant promises of funding, a wealth of folks are working on documenting the conflict and the atrocities it’s led to.
I think a couple of things will take even more shape in 2023 than they did this year, as far as new practices and sensibilities towards the legal world are being refined. Most notably, I feel there’s a newfound keenness on testifying, or at least on being part of bringing justice — and it will be shaping journalistic practices in 2023 in two notable ways.
From a business and product point of view, I think initiatives such as the Coalition for Content Provenance and Authenticity (C2PA, whose members include Adobe, the BBC, Intel, and Microsoft) as well as the Content Authenticity Initiative (CAI, which includes Adobe, The New York Times, and Twitter) are but precursors to a broader shift: the leap from trust in the media to trust in the material itself.
I eagerly await the large “merchants of truth,” news organizations that trade on their production of accurate records, marketing their ability to establish provenance and unbroken integrity, from capture to their client’s screen. It’s not tamper-free because Reputable Newswire says it is — you can see it for yourself, thanks to this little green checkmark, or whichever UI we come up with to denote self-authenticating cryptographic properties. Looking further ahead, Secure Enclave-type chips will permit safe and strong cryptography in professional camera bodies themselves.
In both cases, the challenge is communicating to the audience how novel and strong this self-authenticating material is in terms of trusting what they can see.
As if we needed more of the same debate about who’s a journalist and who’s not, I think there’ll be a more porous border between the world of OSINT analysts and newsrooms or small publishing organizations. And call me nostalgic for my days producing graphics, but I think the bridge between the two worlds is graphics and deep research — “Visual Investigations,” in New York Times parlance.
I think newsrooms will grow more and more comfortable working in partnership with shops specializing in this kind of work, and I think the result of this marriage could be very strong material for legal proceedings, in addition to being extraordinary storytelling pieces.
Pieces like the collaboration between the Associated Press and SITU, as well as fascinating projects aimed towards both the general public and an audience of prosecutors in The Hague, mixing VR and drone videos, and sharp and focused event reconstructions are the areas I see as the most productive and forming the most fruitful cross-disciplinary thinking.
Anecdotally, colleagues who’ve returned from Ukraine (as well as one for Ethiopia) all mentioned more or less casually that they’d been treating their research, notes, and B-rolls differently — as if to be more “ready” should they be called to testify in front of an international body or court. All sought advice ahead of their trip regarding best practices for documentation, and some were directed to published resources such as the Witness Video as Evidence field guide by colleagues and professional organizations.
Should my predictions be proved wrong (and thanks to Nieman Lab for not checking the scoreboard), there’s at least that.
Basile Simon is director of special projects at Stanford and USC’s Starling Lab for Data Integrity.
Molly de Aguiar and Mandy Van Deven Narrative change trend brings new money to journalism
Wilson Liévano Diaspora journalism takes the next step
Rodney Gibbs Recalibrating how we work apart
Jennifer Choi and Jonathan Jackson Funders finally bet on next-generation news entrepreneurs
Leezel Tanglao Community partnerships drive better reporting
Moreno Cruz Osório Brazilian journalism turns wounds into action
Felicitas Carrique and Becca Aaronson News product goes from trend to standard
Lisa Heyamoto The independent news industry gets a roadmap to sustainability
Jarrad Henderson Video editing will help people understand the media they consume
Peter Sterne AI enters the newsroom
Sumi Aggarwal Smart newsrooms will prioritize board development
Martina Efeyini Talk to Gen Z. They’re the experts of Gen Z.
Don Day The news about the news is bad. I’m optimistic.
Hillary Frey Death to the labor-intensive memo for prospective hires
Rachel Glickhouse Humanizing newsrooms will be a badge of honor
Jody Brannon We’ll embrace policy remedies
Raney Aronson-Rath Journalists will band together to fight intimidation
Jessica Clark Open discourse retrenches
Jim Friedlich Local journalism steps up to the challenge of civic coverage
Sarah Marshall A web channel strategy won’t be enough
Bill Grueskin Local news will come to rely on AI
Ryan Nave Citizen journalism, but make it equitable
Anthony Nadler Confronting media gerrymandering
Anika Anand Independent news businesses lead the way on healthy work cultures
Jaden Amos TikTok personality journalists continue to rise
Mar Cabra The inevitable mental health revolution
Peter Bale Rising costs force more digital innovation
Ryan Gantz “I’m sorry, but I’m a large language model”
Alexandra Svokos Working harder to reach audiences where they are
Snigdha Sur Newsrooms get nimble in a recession
Amethyst J. Davis The slight of the great contraction
Susan Chira Equipping local journalism
Kaitlin C. Miller Harassment in journalism won’t get better, but we’ll talk about it more openly
Andrew Losowsky Journalism realizes the replacement for Twitter is not a new Twitter
Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau More of the same
Esther Kezia Thorpe Subscription pressures force product innovation
Kaitlyn Wells We’ll prioritize media literacy for children
Tim Carmody Newsletter writers need a new ethics
David Skok Renewed interest in human-powered reporting
Nicholas Diakopoulos Journalists productively harness generative AI tools
Elite Truong In platform collapse, an opportunity for community
Ryan Kellett Airline-like loyalty programs try to tie down news readers
Brian Moritz Rebuilding the news bundle
Victor Pickard The year journalism and capitalism finally divorce
Emily Nonko Incarcerated reporters get more bylines
Tamar Charney Flux is the new stability
Sue Cross Thinking and acting collectively to save the news
Eric Ulken Generative AI brings wrongness at scale
Anita Varma Journalism prioritizes the basic need for survival
Daniel Trielli Trust in news will continue to fall. Just look at Brazil.
Masuma Ahuja Journalism starts working for and with its communities
Taylor Lorenz The “creator economy” will be astroturfed
Nicholas Jackson There will be launches — and we’ll keep doing the work
Janet Haven ChatGPT and the future of trust
Burt Herman The year AI truly arrives — and with it the reckoning
Mario García More newsrooms go mobile-first
Mary Walter-Brown and Tristan Loper Mission-driven metrics become our North Star
Eric Holthaus As social media fragments, marginalized voices gain more power
Bill Adair The year of the fact-check (no, really!)
Eric Nuzum A focus on people instead of power
Ariel Zirulnick Journalism doubles down on user needs
Jennifer Brandel AI couldn’t care less. Journalists will care more.
Gordon Crovitz The year advertisers stop funding misinformation
Basile Simon Towards supporting criminal accountability
Jessica Maddox Journalists keep getting manipulated by internet culture
Al Lucca Digital news design gets interesting again
J. Siguru Wahutu American journalism reckons with its colonialist tendencies
Doris Truong Workers demand to be paid what the job is worth
Michael W. Wagner The backlash against pro-democracy reporting is coming
Dannagal G. Young Stop rewarding elite performances of identity threat
Delano Massey The industry shakes its imposter syndrome
Kirstin McCudden We’ll codify protection of journalism and newsgathering
Zizi Papacharissi Platforms are over
Shanté Cosme The answer to “quiet quitting” is radical empathy
Matt Rasnic More newsroom workers turn to organized labor
Emma Carew Grovum The year to resist forgetting about diversity
Sarah Stonbely Growth in public funding for news and information at the state and local levels
S. Mitra Kalita “Everything sucks. Good luck to you.”
Errin Haines Journalists on the campaign trail mend trust with the public
Cassandra Etienne Local news fellowships will help fight newsroom inequities
Cory Bergman The AI content flood
Ståle Grut Your newsroom experiences a Midjourney-gate, too
Ayala Panievsky It’s time for PR for journalism
Janelle Salanga Journalists work from a place of harm reduction
Sarabeth Berman Nonprofit local news shows that it can scale
John Davidow A year of intergenerational learning
Nicholas Thompson The year AI actually changes the media business
Jesse Holcomb Buffeted, whipped, bullied, pulled
Amy Schmitz Weiss Journalism education faces a crossroads
A.J. Bauer Covering the right wrong
Surya Mattu Data journalists learn from photojournalists
Juleyka Lantigua Newsrooms recognize women of color as the canaries in the coal mine
Parker Molloy We’ll reach new heights of moral panic
Khushbu Shah Global reporting will suffer
Sam Guzik AI will start fact-checking. We may not like the results.
Paul Cheung More news organizations will realize they are in the business of impact, not eyeballs
Jenna Weiss-Berman The economic downturn benefits the podcasting industry. (No, really!)
Michael Schudson Journalism gets more and more difficult
Sue Robinson Engagement journalism will have to confront a tougher reality
Laxmi Parthasarathy Unlocking the silent demand for international journalism
Larry Ryckman We’ll work together with our competitors
Kavya Sukumar Belling the cat: The rise of independent fact-checking at scale
Joshua P. Darr Local to live, wire to wither
Jakob Moll Journalism startups will think beyond English
Alan Henry A reckoning with why trust in news is so low
Mauricio Cabrera It’s no longer about audiences, it’s about communities
Priyanjana Bengani Partisan local news networks will collaborate
Simon Galperin Philanthropy stops investing in corporate media
Richard Tofel The press might get better at vetting presidential candidates
Megan Lucero and Shirish Kulkarni The future of journalism is not you
Pia Frey Publishers start polling their users at scale
Eric Thurm Journalists think of themselves as workers
Sarah Alvarez Dream bigger or lose out
Joanne McNeil Facebook and the media kiss and make up
Dana Lacey Tech will screw publishers over
Josh Schwartz The AI spammers are coming
Christoph Mergerson The rot at the core of the news business
Anna Nirmala News organizations get new structures
Kerri Hoffman Podcasting goes local
Jim VandeHei There is no “peak newsletter”
Cindy Royal Yes, journalists should learn to code, but…
Barbara Raab More journalism funders will take more risks
Stefanie Murray The year U.S. media stops screwing around and becomes pro-democracy
Ben Werdmuller The internet is up for grabs again
Karina Montoya More reporters on the antitrust beat
Alexandra Borchardt The year of the climate journalism strategy
Upasna Gautam Technology that performs at the speed of news
Jonas Kaiser Rejecting the “free speech” frame
Dominic-Madori Davis Everyone finally realizes the need for diverse voices in tech reporting
Julia Beizer News fatigue shows us a clear path forward
Johannes Klingebiel The innovation team, R.I.P.
An Xiao Mina Journalism in a time of permacrisis
Francesco Zaffarano There is no end of “social media”
Jacob L. Nelson Despite it all, people will still want to be journalists
Laura E. Davis The year we embrace the robots — and ourselves
David Cohn AI made this prediction
Mariana Moura Santos A woman who speaks is a woman who changes the world
Joni Deutsch Podcast collaboration — not competition — breeds excellence
Kathy Lu We need emotionally agile newsroom leaders
Gabe Schneider Well-funded journalism leaders stop making disparate pay
Sue Schardt Toward a new poetics of journalism
Andrew Donohue We’ll find out whether journalism can, indeed, save democracy
Mael Vallejo More threats to press freedom across the Americas
Julia Angwin Democracies will get serious about saving journalism
Walter Frick Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets
Brian Stelter Finding new ways to reach news avoiders
Alex Sujong Laughlin Credit where it’s due
Gina Chua The traditional story structure gets deconstructed
Cari Nazeer and Emily Goligoski News organizations step up their support for caregivers
Tre'vell Anderson Continued culpability in anti-trans campaigns
Joe Amditis AI throws a lifeline to local publishers
Danielle K. Brown and Kathleen Searles DEI efforts must consider mental health and online abuse
Sam Gregory Synthetic media forces us to understand how media gets made
Alex Perry New paths to transparency without Twitter
Christina Shih Shared values move from nice-to-haves to essentials
Nikki Usher This is the year of the RSS reader. (Really!)
Valérie Bélair-Gagnon Well-being will become a core tenet of journalism