The year of the fact-check (no, really!)

“Individual checks are now more important than the organizations that produce them.”

In the early days of the fact-checking movement, we had a running joke in the PolitiFact office: “This is the year of the fact-checker!” It didn’t matter the year or the circumstance. The joke was that our movement had such momentum that every year was our year!

(The Washington Post and The New York Times quoted me saying this about 2012. Brian Stelter later said it about 2016.)

My prediction for 2023 sounds similar, but I’ve got reasons to back it up. I think it will be the Year of the Fact-Check.

Individual checks are now more important than the organizations that produce them. That reflects a steady increase in the use of fact-checks by tech companies and social media platforms.

Over the past few years, Facebook, Google, and YouTube have been using or highlighting them in helpful ways. (Disclosure: Google and Facebook have supported the work of the Duke Reporters’ Lab, which I direct.) Also, TikTok hires fact-checkers to provide services that help the app company make decisions about deleting false content.

The companies have come to an important realization, that fact-checks are more than just articles declaring whether a politician’s statement was true or false. Those articles are also data that can help the companies make smarter decisions about promoting accurate content or demoting falsehoods and identifying the users that spread misinformation.

Our work at Duke has helped that effort because we partnered with Google and Jigsaw to develop ClaimReview, a public tagging system that summarizes fact-checks and reduces the amount of guessing the tech companies have to do about their contents. We also created MediaReview, a new tagging system used for fact-checks about fake videos and manipulated images.

When fact-checks are labeled with ClaimReview (more than half are), the tech companies’ algorithms don’t have to make guesses about the content of an article. ClaimReview shows who is being checked, what they said, and whether the statement was rated true, false, or something else. That enables the algorithms to be more precise and, in turn, elevate or demote an article in search results or a news feed.

The problem, though, is that there simply aren’t enough fact-checks to address all the questionable content. We need more — lots more.

Last month, Google and YouTube took a big step in that direction when they announced a $13.2 million grant to the International Fact-Checking Network to pay fact-checkers. The IFCN hasn’t determined how it will distribute the money, but it’s likely it will lead to more fact-checks. In the coming year, I’m hopeful that other companies and foundations will also be inspired to pay for more fact-checks (and that Meta will continue with its Third-Party Fact-Checking Program).

A larger number of fact-checks will not only help the consumers who visit sites such as FactCheck.org and PolitiFact; it also will help researchers and app builders who are increasingly using the individual fact-checks as data. (Sometime next year, we will be posting the ClaimReview and MediaReview datasets so they are easier to use.)

If other tech companies will pitch in, we can dramatically increase the number of fact-checks. That will benefit all the companies by providing them with a broader dataset to make decisions about misinformation. That will make it the Year of the Fact-Check.

Bill Adair is founder of PolitiFact and the Knight Professor of the Practice of Journalism and Public Policy at Duke University.

In the early days of the fact-checking movement, we had a running joke in the PolitiFact office: “This is the year of the fact-checker!” It didn’t matter the year or the circumstance. The joke was that our movement had such momentum that every year was our year!

(The Washington Post and The New York Times quoted me saying this about 2012. Brian Stelter later said it about 2016.)

My prediction for 2023 sounds similar, but I’ve got reasons to back it up. I think it will be the Year of the Fact-Check.

Individual checks are now more important than the organizations that produce them. That reflects a steady increase in the use of fact-checks by tech companies and social media platforms.

Over the past few years, Facebook, Google, and YouTube have been using or highlighting them in helpful ways. (Disclosure: Google and Facebook have supported the work of the Duke Reporters’ Lab, which I direct.) Also, TikTok hires fact-checkers to provide services that help the app company make decisions about deleting false content.

The companies have come to an important realization, that fact-checks are more than just articles declaring whether a politician’s statement was true or false. Those articles are also data that can help the companies make smarter decisions about promoting accurate content or demoting falsehoods and identifying the users that spread misinformation.

Our work at Duke has helped that effort because we partnered with Google and Jigsaw to develop ClaimReview, a public tagging system that summarizes fact-checks and reduces the amount of guessing the tech companies have to do about their contents. We also created MediaReview, a new tagging system used for fact-checks about fake videos and manipulated images.

When fact-checks are labeled with ClaimReview (more than half are), the tech companies’ algorithms don’t have to make guesses about the content of an article. ClaimReview shows who is being checked, what they said, and whether the statement was rated true, false, or something else. That enables the algorithms to be more precise and, in turn, elevate or demote an article in search results or a news feed.

The problem, though, is that there simply aren’t enough fact-checks to address all the questionable content. We need more — lots more.

Last month, Google and YouTube took a big step in that direction when they announced a $13.2 million grant to the International Fact-Checking Network to pay fact-checkers. The IFCN hasn’t determined how it will distribute the money, but it’s likely it will lead to more fact-checks. In the coming year, I’m hopeful that other companies and foundations will also be inspired to pay for more fact-checks (and that Meta will continue with its Third-Party Fact-Checking Program).

A larger number of fact-checks will not only help the consumers who visit sites such as FactCheck.org and PolitiFact; it also will help researchers and app builders who are increasingly using the individual fact-checks as data. (Sometime next year, we will be posting the ClaimReview and MediaReview datasets so they are easier to use.)

If other tech companies will pitch in, we can dramatically increase the number of fact-checks. That will benefit all the companies by providing them with a broader dataset to make decisions about misinformation. That will make it the Year of the Fact-Check.

Bill Adair is founder of PolitiFact and the Knight Professor of the Practice of Journalism and Public Policy at Duke University.

Jessica Maddox   Journalists keep getting manipulated by internet culture

Alexandra Borchardt   The year of the climate journalism strategy

Sue Cross   Thinking and acting collectively to save the news

Victor Pickard   The year journalism and capitalism finally divorce

Molly de Aguiar and Mandy Van Deven   Narrative change trend brings new money to journalism

Kathy Lu   We need emotionally agile newsroom leaders

Burt Herman   The year AI truly arrives — and with it the reckoning

Jaden Amos   TikTok personality journalists continue to rise

Don Day   The news about the news is bad. I’m optimistic.

Sarah Marshall   A web channel strategy won’t be enough

Errin Haines   Journalists on the campaign trail mend trust with the public

Surya Mattu   Data journalists learn from photojournalists

Sarah Alvarez   Dream bigger or lose out

Larry Ryckman   We’ll work together with our competitors

Barbara Raab   More journalism funders will take more risks

Dominic-Madori Davis   Everyone finally realizes the need for diverse voices in tech reporting

Bill Adair   The year of the fact-check (no, really!)

Janet Haven   ChatGPT and the future of trust 

Khushbu Shah   Global reporting will suffer

Jacob L. Nelson   Despite it all, people will still want to be journalists

Nicholas Jackson   There will be launches — and we’ll keep doing the work

Mario García   More newsrooms go mobile-first

Stefanie Murray   The year U.S. media stops screwing around and becomes pro-democracy

Laura E. Davis   The year we embrace the robots — and ourselves

Ariel Zirulnick   Journalism doubles down on user needs

Hillary Frey   Death to the labor-intensive memo for prospective hires

An Xiao Mina   Journalism in a time of permacrisis

Ryan Gantz   “I’m sorry, but I’m a large language model”

Priyanjana Bengani   Partisan local news networks will collaborate

David Skok   Renewed interest in human-powered reporting

Felicitas Carrique and Becca Aaronson   News product goes from trend to standard

Daniel Trielli   Trust in news will continue to fall. Just look at Brazil.

Andrew Donohue   We’ll find out whether journalism can, indeed, save democracy

Alan Henry   A reckoning with why trust in news is so low

Julia Beizer   News fatigue shows us a clear path forward

Elite Truong   In platform collapse, an opportunity for community

Tamar Charney   Flux is the new stability

Sam Gregory   Synthetic media forces us to understand how media gets made

John Davidow   A year of intergenerational learning

Joni Deutsch   Podcast collaboration — not competition — breeds excellence

Esther Kezia Thorpe   Subscription pressures force product innovation

S. Mitra Kalita   “Everything sucks. Good luck to you.”

Sarah Stonbely   Growth in public funding for news and information at the state and local levels

Emma Carew Grovum   The year to resist forgetting about diversity

Gina Chua   The traditional story structure gets deconstructed

Mariana Moura Santos   A woman who speaks is a woman who changes the world

Amethyst J. Davis   The slight of the great contraction

Dana Lacey   Tech will screw publishers over

Jonas Kaiser   Rejecting the “free speech” frame

A.J. Bauer   Covering the right wrong

Ben Werdmuller   The internet is up for grabs again

Peter Sterne   AI enters the newsroom

Masuma Ahuja   Journalism starts working for and with its communities

Alex Perry   New paths to transparency without Twitter

Emily Nonko   Incarcerated reporters get more bylines

Brian Moritz   Rebuilding the news bundle

Valérie Bélair-Gagnon   Well-being will become a core tenet of journalism

Elizabeth Bramson-Boudreau   More of the same

Cari Nazeer and Emily Goligoski   News organizations step up their support for caregivers

Bill Grueskin   Local news will come to rely on AI

Christina Shih   Shared values move from nice-to-haves to essentials

Upasna Gautam   Technology that performs at the speed of news

Al Lucca   Digital news design gets interesting again

Moreno Cruz Osório   Brazilian journalism turns wounds into action

Lisa Heyamoto   The independent news industry gets a roadmap to sustainability

Kirstin McCudden   We’ll codify protection of journalism and newsgathering

Karina Montoya   More reporters on the antitrust beat

Jessica Clark   Open discourse retrenches

Sue Schardt   Toward a new poetics of journalism

Simon Galperin   Philanthropy stops investing in corporate media

Joe Amditis   AI throws a lifeline to local publishers

Amy Schmitz Weiss   Journalism education faces a crossroads

Anthony Nadler   Confronting media gerrymandering

Taylor Lorenz   The “creator economy” will be astroturfed

Jody Brannon   We’ll embrace policy remedies

Raney Aronson-Rath   Journalists will band together to fight intimidation

Kaitlin C. Miller   Harassment in journalism won’t get better, but we’ll talk about it more openly

Gordon Crovitz   The year advertisers stop funding misinformation

Ryan Kellett   Airline-like loyalty programs try to tie down news readers

Ayala Panievsky   It’s time for PR for journalism

Jakob Moll   Journalism startups will think beyond English

Cory Bergman   The AI content flood

Laxmi Parthasarathy   Unlocking the silent demand for international journalism

Eric Holthaus   As social media fragments, marginalized voices gain more power

Kerri Hoffman   Podcasting goes local

Jennifer Brandel   AI couldn’t care less. Journalists will care more. 

Mary Walter-Brown and Tristan Loper   Mission-driven metrics become our North Star

Sam Guzik   AI will start fact-checking. We may not like the results.

Eric Nuzum   A focus on people instead of power

Sarabeth Berman   Nonprofit local news shows that it can scale

Peter Bale   Rising costs force more digital innovation

Leezel Tanglao   Community partnerships drive better reporting

Nikki Usher   This is the year of the RSS reader. (Really!)

Alex Sujong Laughlin   Credit where it’s due

Eric Thurm   Journalists think of themselves as workers

Megan Lucero and Shirish Kulkarni   The future of journalism is not you

Jim Friedlich   Local journalism steps up to the challenge of civic coverage

Tim Carmody   Newsletter writers need a new ethics

Tre'vell Anderson   Continued culpability in anti-trans campaigns

J. Siguru Wahutu   American journalism reckons with its colonialist tendencies

Cindy Royal   Yes, journalists should learn to code, but…

Jarrad Henderson   Video editing will help people understand the media they consume

Jim VandeHei   There is no “peak newsletter”

Johannes Klingebiel   The innovation team, R.I.P.

Nicholas Diakopoulos   Journalists productively harness generative AI tools

Kavya Sukumar   Belling the cat: The rise of independent fact-checking at scale

Susan Chira   Equipping local journalism

Michael Schudson   Journalism gets more and more difficult

Zizi Papacharissi   Platforms are over

Christoph Mergerson   The rot at the core of the news business

Sue Robinson   Engagement journalism will have to confront a tougher reality

Mar Cabra   The inevitable mental health revolution

Anna Nirmala   News organizations get new structures

Anita Varma   Journalism prioritizes the basic need for survival

Delano Massey   The industry shakes its imposter syndrome

Janelle Salanga   Journalists work from a place of harm reduction

Snigdha Sur   Newsrooms get nimble in a recession

Andrew Losowsky   Journalism realizes the replacement for Twitter is not a new Twitter

Nicholas Thompson   The year AI actually changes the media business

Kaitlyn Wells   We’ll prioritize media literacy for children

Cassandra Etienne   Local news fellowships will help fight newsroom inequities

Danielle K. Brown and Kathleen Searles   DEI efforts must consider mental health and online abuse

Pia Frey   Publishers start polling their users at scale

Mauricio Cabrera   It’s no longer about audiences, it’s about communities

Jennifer Choi and Jonathan Jackson   Funders finally bet on next-generation news entrepreneurs

Doris Truong   Workers demand to be paid what the job is worth

Basile Simon   Towards supporting criminal accountability

Martina Efeyini   Talk to Gen Z. They’re the experts of Gen Z.

Jesse Holcomb   Buffeted, whipped, bullied, pulled

Matt Rasnic   More newsroom workers turn to organized labor

Alexandra Svokos   Working harder to reach audiences where they are

Rodney Gibbs   Recalibrating how we work apart

Eric Ulken   Generative AI brings wrongness at scale

Francesco Zaffarano   There is no end of “social media”

Julia Angwin   Democracies will get serious about saving journalism

Wilson Liévano   Diaspora journalism takes the next step

Mael Vallejo   More threats to press freedom across the Americas

Anika Anand   Independent news businesses lead the way on healthy work cultures

Dannagal G. Young   Stop rewarding elite performances of identity threat

Ståle Grut   Your newsroom experiences a Midjourney-gate, too

Shanté Cosme   The answer to “quiet quitting” is radical empathy

Paul Cheung   More news organizations will realize they are in the business of impact, not eyeballs

Josh Schwartz   The AI spammers are coming

Michael W. Wagner   The backlash against pro-democracy reporting is coming

Juleyka Lantigua   Newsrooms recognize women of color as the canaries in the coal mine

Gabe Schneider   Well-funded journalism leaders stop making disparate pay

Sumi Aggarwal   Smart newsrooms will prioritize board development

Ryan Nave   Citizen journalism, but make it equitable

Parker Molloy   We’ll reach new heights of moral panic

Joshua P. Darr   Local to live, wire to wither

Joanne McNeil   Facebook and the media kiss and make up

Jenna Weiss-Berman   The economic downturn benefits the podcasting industry. (No, really!)

David Cohn   AI made this prediction

Brian Stelter   Finding new ways to reach news avoiders

Richard Tofel   The press might get better at vetting presidential candidates

Walter Frick   Journalists wake up to the power of prediction markets

Rachel Glickhouse   Humanizing newsrooms will be a badge of honor